Amwal Al Ghad English - 2013-03-23 14:25:09
Premium income for the insurance industry in the Asia-Pacific region will double by 2020 according to a study published by Munich Re’s Economic Research Department. With more than €1 trillion, nearly half of the estimated additional global primary insurance premiums will be generated in Asia-Pacific until 2020 (worldwide €2.2 trillion). The contribution from “emerging Asia” – markets such as China or India – to this figure will be nearly 70% (about €670bn).Five of the expected global top-ten primary-insurance growth markets will be in the Asia-Pacific region, both in property/casualty (P/C) and in life. Munich Re expects China to be the country with the highest increase of primary insurance premiums worldwide until 2020 (additional €425bn), followed by the United States (additional €350bn) and Japan (additional €157bn).Emerging AsiaIn emerging Asia, P/C primary insurance premiums currently grow on average by 11% annually. This is twice as high as the second-placed region, Eastern Europe. Michael Menhart, Chief Economist at Munich Re, says: “China, India and Indonesia will be the top-three growth countries in P/C, with average growth of above 12% over the forecast period (2012-2020) in China and India, and almost 10% in Indonesia.” This means Indonesia’s P/C primary insurance volume will more than double in size from almost €3bn in 2012 to €7.3bn in 2020. Average growth rates of other emerging countries such as Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia and Thailand range between 6% and 8%. This is driven by increasing risk awareness and a growing middle class. Rising consumer savings are fueling demand for life and health insurance, changing regulations and greater consumer protection will increase demand for motor and liability insurance, while large infrastructure investments will boost the demand for industrial insurance.Despite these substantial premium growth expectations, emerging Asia will continue to be severely underinsured, especially against natural catastrophes.
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